A total of 19 polls of voters in swing states from four different pollsters were released Thursday, with former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Trump in every single one, including in historically Republican states like Arizona, Georgia and Texas.
Polls released by the New York Times and Siena College put Biden up by double digits in those states, with 11-point leads in Michigan and Wisconsin and a 10-point lead in Pennsylvania, as well as a 9-point lead in North Carolina, an 8-point lead in Florida and a 7-point lead in Arizona, all states that voted for Trump in 2016.
Redfield & Wilton polls showed almost identical results, with Biden leading by 11 points in Michigan, 10 points in Pennsylvania, 9 points in Wisconsin, 6 points in North Carolina and 4 points in Arizona and Wisconsin, with third-party candidates Jo Jorgensen and Howie Hawkins never polling above the margin of error.
Trump has struggled to respond to several major crises that have hit the U.S. in recent months. While he initially received a bump during the early stages of the coronavirus pandemic in April and May, that quickly evaporated by June as protests swept the nation in response to the death of George Floyd. Trump’s approval rating in the RealClearPolitics average is underwater by 13 points, his lowest margin since the beginning of the Ukraine scandal, which led to his eventual impeachment.
37%. Just 37% of Americans approve of how Trump has handled the coronavirus pandemic compared to 58% who disapprove, according to a new Reuters poll.
“This is the worst 24 hours of polling in Trump’s entire political career,” tweeted CNN Politics reporter Chris Cillizza.
Biden’s wide lead in critical battleground states, and the competitiveness of historically Republican states, forces Trump to change up his strategy, which once included going after Democratic-leaning states like Minnesota and New Mexico. His campaign has spent significant time in Arizona, with Trump and Vice President Mike Pence both making recent visits. While Arizona has long been safely in Republican hands, it voted for Trump by just 4 points in 2016 and elected Democrat Kirsten Sinema to the U.S. Senate in 2018.